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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Turning Colder Again. Sunday night NWNJ Snow?

Turning Colder Again. Sunday night NWNJ Snow?

🕔15:47, 8.Dec 2022

Discussion: Real quick, most areas should fall into the upper-20s/lower-30s tonight. This should end the very mild conditions we saw this week. I know I have been eyeing up the Dec 11-17 period for favorable snowstorm development conditions in prior

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Mild and Unsettled this Week. Still Watching Period Beyond.

Mild and Unsettled this Week. Still Watching Period Beyond.

🕔09:00, 5.Dec 2022

Discussion: The anomalously high (geo heights) ridge has formed and is still expected to meander around/over Greenland until at least Dec 17th. We’re going to see a milder week this week as heights actually build up the E US coast

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More Volatile Conditions

More Volatile Conditions

🕔10:33, 2.Dec 2022

Discussion: While forecasters continue to drool over the anomalous blocking signal expected to begin next week, let’s stay focused on what’s in front of us this weekend. A ridge will build over the Northeast US today (Friday) before handing off

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Storm Update and Future Snow Chat

Storm Update and Future Snow Chat

🕔15:54, 30.Nov 2022

Discussion: The primary low in Canada is down to 978mb. Isobars are tightening and the attached cold front drapes all the way down into the SE US. High pressure is materializing over Oklahoma and will soon drift eastward, reinforcing the

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Wind Event Approaching

Wind Event Approaching

🕔15:07, 29.Nov 2022

Discussion: Tomorrow (Wednesday) is going to be one of those volatile days I spoke about in this week’s outlook. The setup includes strong upper-level dynamics (a vort-phasing trough) over the Great Lakes enhancing (bombing out) a surface low just N

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Volatile Conditions

Volatile Conditions

🕔12:03, 28.Nov 2022

Discussion: I’m seeing a much more wintry-like pattern beginning around Dec 5 for New Jersey. That doesn’t mean we’re getting a snowstorm on Dec 5. It simply means the atmosphere will become favorable for snow development at that point and

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Great for Travel. Watching the Weekend.

Great for Travel. Watching the Weekend.

🕔10:15, 21.Nov 2022

Discussion: This week looks straightforward. High pressure will be passing through/overhead from Monday-Thursday. This will produce clear skies, milder-feeling afternoons, and cold nights. Mon-Tues colder than Wed-Thurs. The setup looks ideal for anyone traveling Mon-Thurs and will be a nice

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Cold and Dry. Watching Next Weekend.

Cold and Dry. Watching Next Weekend.

🕔16:17, 17.Nov 2022

Discussion: We currently have a colder flow out of the W/NW. Overnight lows tonight (Thursday night) should fall into the 20s for most with coastal regions hanging in the 30s. A few isolated snow flurries and streamer showers have been

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First Snow Possible Tonight for NWNJ

First Snow Possible Tonight for NWNJ

🕔14:41, 15.Nov 2022

Discussion: Precipitation is approaching New Jersey from the SW and is already falling in some areas. No one should get too excited just yet. The snow that could happen tonight is mainly for the higher NWNJ elevations and will probably

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Colder Patten Sets In

Colder Patten Sets In

🕔12:59, 14.Nov 2022

Discussion: It looks like the roller coaster temperature swings will calm down now that we’re settled into a colder air mass and colder pattern overall. Temperatures should fall steadily through sunset into tonight (Monday night) sending most below freezing. We’ll

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