Back to homepage

Posts From Jonathan Carr

Arctic Air Returns Briefly

Arctic Air Returns Briefly

🕔14:30, 30.Jan 2023

Discussion: The weather pattern for the next 7 or so days will be dominated by two features. One is a piece of the Tropospheric Polar Vortex (TPV). The other is a frontal boundary that will act as a storm track

Read Full Article
Calmer Weekend. Watching Next Week for Wintry Potential.

Calmer Weekend. Watching Next Week for Wintry Potential.

🕔15:49, 26.Jan 2023

Discussion: The weekend is rather straightforward. As of right now (Thursday afternoon) it’s still windy out of the W/NW behind the departing system that brought snow and rain to NJ on Wednesday. These winds should continue howling into Thursday night

Read Full Article
Wednesday Snow Targeting NNJ before Rain

Wednesday Snow Targeting NNJ before Rain Updated

🕔16:58, 24.Jan 2023

Discussion: There’s a tremendous amount of model disagreement with now less than 24 hours before the start of precipitation. Most of it revolves around how far SE the extent of snow will be in New Jersey. The overall consensus is

Read Full Article
NNJ Snow Thump Detected

NNJ Snow Thump Detected Updated

🕔16:58, 23.Jan 2023

Discussion: This article will first cover the Wednesday-Thursday snow-to-rain event before we dive into some near-future signals I’m seeing. What we have been referring to as storm 1 arrived yesterday (as snow for NWNJ), precipitated overnight as mostly rain, and

Read Full Article
Mixed Conditions. Watching Wednesday.

Mixed Conditions. Watching Wednesday. Updated

🕔09:00, 23.Jan 2023

Discussion: The weak low associated with last night-this morning’s precipitation is now E of NJ. Winds have now become northerly for most of NJ and temperatures have dropped enough to return some areas that started wintry and changed to rain,

Read Full Article
Colder Conditions. Ends Wintry for NWNJ.

Colder Conditions. Ends Wintry for NWNJ. Updated

🕔16:58, 20.Jan 2023

Discussion: A cold front passed through today but prior to peak afternoon solar heating. That allowed most of NJ to rise into the 40s even near-50. Temperatures and humidity will drop with sundown this evening and yield a colder Friday

Read Full Article
Mixed Conditions to Possibly End Crappy Winter Pattern

Mixed Conditions to Possibly End Crappy Winter Pattern

🕔15:15, 17.Jan 2023

Discussion: Some light rain is around today along a very weak front attached to a very weak low currently fizzling over the E Great Lakes. This is already on it’s way out and should clear for tonight’s overnight hours (Tuesday).

Read Full Article
Colder and Drier behind Tonight’s Rain

Colder and Drier behind Tonight’s Rain

🕔14:14, 12.Jan 2023

Discussion: First let’s talk about tonight. Temps should hold on the milder side and fail to dip below 45 or so. The primary low will generally track along/just NW of the Appalachian Mountains across parts of SE Ohio, W PA,

Read Full Article
Milder Build into Unsettled Weekend

Milder Build into Unsettled Weekend

🕔15:10, 9.Jan 2023

Discussion: Our weak wave has departed and we’ll now have fairly tranquil conditions through at least Thursday morning. A low pressure system is then expected to track from the central plains into the E Great Lakes area around Friday morning

Read Full Article
Light Snow Event Detected Sun PM-Mon AM

Light Snow Event Detected Sun PM-Mon AM

🕔15:10, 6.Jan 2023

Discussion: Tonight, we’ll finally dip back into the low-30s for most areas, some below-freezing. It’s been a while (since right after Christmas) that we’ve seen such but it will feel more like winter and less like spring. We can thank

Read Full Article