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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Rough Start. Nice Finish.

Rough Start. Nice Finish.

🕔12:16, 3.Mar 2023

Discussion: The storm system is currently (Friday afternoon) approaching the S Great Lakes area. This will sever the east coast ridge leaving pieces above and below it. The above piece should stop the low’s northward progression overnight tonight (Friday night)

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Storm System to hit Friday PM-Saturday AM

Storm System to hit Friday PM-Saturday AM

🕔16:33, 2.Mar 2023

Discussion: Another storm system will push through NJ between Friday and Saturday with mostly wet impacts to most of the state. The only area that could see a wintry mix IMO is N of I-80 and NW of I-287…basically Sussex,

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Worst Winter in a While Moves Forward

Worst Winter in a While Moves Forward

🕔15:07, 28.Feb 2023

Discussion: Meteorological winter ends after today. Meteorological spring begins tomorrow as each new day features increased sunlight duration and sun angle. Heck, we change the clocks soon at which point we’ll have horizon dayglow to 7pm+. General climatology will make

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Winter Storm Approaching North Jersey

Winter Storm Approaching North Jersey Updated

🕔15:58, 27.Feb 2023

Discussion: The wintriest snowstorm of the season is approaching NNJ. This isn’t saying much this season but here we are. I don’t see this being a Kaboomable event. I think maybe some spots in NNJ have a chance of double

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NNJ/CNJ Winter Storm Detected

NNJ/CNJ Winter Storm Detected Updated

🕔16:57, 26.Feb 2023

Discussion: As expected, yesterday’s light snow event was not a big deal. Some saw anything from flurries to snow showers with little-to-no accumulation. Some northern areas saw trace accumulations mostly on natural surfaces. This was a great example of conversational

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Winter Tries to Flex

Winter Tries to Flex

🕔12:49, 24.Feb 2023

Discussion: As the worst winter (snow-wise) since 2011-2012 begins to sunset, it might try to remind us that we are indeed still in the season of winter. Sun angle is climbing higher each day. Climatology is now stacked against daytime

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More Volatile Conditions Expected

More Volatile Conditions Expected

🕔09:00, 21.Feb 2023

Discussion: Some rain moved through last night and scraped extreme NNJ with some wintry precip. No big deal. We’ll see another round of showers this afternoon preceding a weak cold front (really just a sinking boundary). We’ll then warm up

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Brief Cold. Mild Conditions Return

Brief Cold. Mild Conditions Return

🕔11:11, 17.Feb 2023

Discussion: Real quick, rain is departing to the E over the ocean and a cold front is moving in to drop temperatures for this afternoon through tomorrow night. By Sunday, the mild conditions will return and stick around until about

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Mild Week Sets up Transient Cold Weekend

Mild Week Sets up Transient Cold Weekend

🕔13:18, 13.Feb 2023

Discussion: Our coastal storm cleared out earlier this morning but the back-side cold has not yet arrived. Remember this coastal storm was a small area of colder air within an overall/regional warm air mass. So as soon as we popped

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Coastal Storm Developing for Sunday Night

Coastal Storm Developing for Sunday Night

🕔15:42, 10.Feb 2023

Discussion: In the next 12 hours or so, the Upper-Level Low (ULL) should close off over E TX and begin moving towards the S Mid-Atlantic/SE US area. There’s already convection firing in the N Gulf of Mexico which will enhance

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