Discussion: This week, we have a solid transition from warmer to cooler conditions. The 250mb jet and 500mb height analysis indicates a well-defined ridge giving way to a deep trough. The ridge will dominate much of today through Friday with
Discussion: The Inverted Trough (IVT) has done it’s thing and targeted NYC and surrounding areas (including NENJ/ECNJ) with the heaviest rainfall of the system. I’m seeing some pretty intense flash flooding imagery and videos coming out of NYC. Low pressure
Long Beach Island’s 34th Chowderfest is this Saturday (September 30) from 10am to 6pm. The Chowderfest bayfront festival & vendor village is free to attend with chowder tasting cook-off tickets available for purchase. This family fun festival will feature live
Forecast Discussion: The system that began impacting New Jersey on Friday night (Sept 22) has finally cleared out (as of last night – Tuesday night). A very prolonged event originally initiated by tropical storm remnants and ultimately sustained as a
Storm Synopsis: Last week, a tropical disturbance formed a few hundred miles E of Florida. The upper low associated with the disturbance formed due south of an upper-level ridge centered over SE Canada. The ridge extended higher geopotential heights southward
Discussion: Today (Friday), I have a better idea about how this weekend should play out. With that said, the weekend outlook will be in article format today since we have an active system affecting the area through at least Monday.
Discussion: Not much has changed from a few days ago in the weekly outlook. This weekend continues to look suboptimal for outdoor plans, especially coastal areas S and E of the turnpike. Let’s break it down: A tropical disturbance is
Discussion: Nothing that interesting in the upper levels. Just a handoff of slightly higher and lower heights in mostly a zonal setup. The upper jet should become more meridional as we closer approach the weekend. At the lower levels, an
Discussion: The only disturbance I see in the upper levels is for the Sunday night into Monday period when a strong upper-jet streak will be over NJ in correlation with a small dissolving positive-axis trough. There should be a correlating
Discussion: For the first half of this week a trough will approach NJ from the W/NW and eventually bring a frontal system through on Wednesday. We’re warm (but not scorching) until then with elevated humidity. Both temps and humidity should
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