Discussion: I feel like a broken record at this point but lower geopotential heights will continue to dominate the region’s weather pattern. A series of upper-lows should meander over our region for the foreseeable future. Most models are holding off
Discussion: The Canadian wildfires were caused by a convective linear stormfront (by lightning) that pushed through a very dry area of SE Canada. The stubborn blocking pattern in Canada is what has caused the cooler temps for our region over
Discussion: You’ve probably seen some news content about the cooler weather pattern sustaining until mid-June. That’s true. Avg NJ temps for today are ~78 and they swell to lower-80s by June 15. We may break 80 for a few days
Discussion: Weather conditions will be very transitional from today to tomorrow. Our mini heat wave peaks today but a cold front will push in from the N/NE overnight yielding a much cooler Saturday-forward. You might have heard of a back-door
Discussion: Today (Tuesday) and tomorrow (Wednesday) will continue the onshore flow pattern at the surface due to the stubborn Rex Block configuration in the lower-mid levels. Again, that’s a high (NE US) to the N of a low (SE US)
Discussion: A moment of silence for those who have fallen for our country. Memorial Day Weekend is off to an amazing start weather-wise and it looks to continue through at least Monday morning. The above image is my current view
Discussion: There’s not much to talk about before this weekend. Monday-Wednesday looks mild and sunny with temps in the 70s however we’ll deal with hazy skies from the upstream forest fires. Thursday and Friday look cooler after a mostly dry
Discussion: The upper levels for the next week or so appear mundane with zonal flow and only slightly positive geopotential height anomalies. This should allow for a seasonably average set of temperatures with only a few showers here and there.
Discussion: The upper jet pattern this week looks meridional but progressive with an overall W/NW flow aloft. We’ll see the tip of a trough move through the region Wednesday-Thursday then an upper-low directly over NJ Saturday-Sunday. During these periods, temps
Discussion: With the exception of the immediate coasts, most New Jersey areas are into the 80s and even some flirting with 90. Today’s the last of the above-average temperature wave. A weak disturbance should approach with clouds and rain for
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