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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Let the Moaning and Groaning Commence

Let the Moaning and Groaning Commence

🕔14:27, 24.Apr 2023

Discussion: The upper jet is somewhat inconclusive IMO but 500mb height anomalies tell the story better. For the next 10-14 days, we’re going to see lower heights over the E US in a series of colder/unsettled troughs. This should keep

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Nice Start then Back to Cooler Pattern

Nice Start then Back to Cooler Pattern

🕔15:35, 20.Apr 2023

Discussion: The upper jet should fluctuate either over or S of New Jersey for the next few weeks. This will correlate with a prolonged period of below-average geopotential height anomalies for most of the E US. At the surface it

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Another Multi-Season Week

Another Multi-Season Week

🕔13:59, 17.Apr 2023

Discussion: As of right now (Monday afternoon, April 17), a cold front is just passing through, powered by a Great Lakes trough/upper-low and surface low further N in Canada. This is going to set up a cooler/colder period this evening

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Mixed Spring Conditions

Mixed Spring Conditions

🕔14:58, 13.Apr 2023

If you haven’t checked out our new nightly calmcast videos, please head over to our YouTube Channel. Calmcast is an additional Weather NJ product (not replacing anything existing). It’s focused on mental wellness, calming vibes, and relaxing audio visuals to

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Very Warm for Mid-April

Very Warm for Mid-April

🕔12:43, 10.Apr 2023

Discussion: High pressure over the E US is drifting eastward out to sea. Behind that, the upper jet is going to set up way N and over NJ (into Canada) forming an E US ridge that should dominate the weather

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Thunderstorms Targeting SNJ Tonight

Thunderstorms Targeting SNJ Tonight

🕔12:33, 6.Apr 2023

Discussion: As expected, today is the warmest day of the week. We have high pressure near Bermuda pumping return flow into New Jersey from the S/SW. And we have an approaching cold front attached to a low tracking through SE

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Warmer Pattern Builds

Warmer Pattern Builds

🕔15:22, 3.Apr 2023

Discussion: That was a rough Saturday. I didn’t like the feel of it all day. The clearing we had between rain ending late-morning and the storms arriving early-evening felt uncomfortably mild and destabilized. It allowed the sun to heat the

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Rain, Wind, and Storms Approaching

Rain, Wind, and Storms Approaching

🕔22:45, 31.Mar 2023

Discussion: A very temporary ridge is currently over the E US correlating with S/SW flow at the lower levels. That’s why much of NJ is still in the 50s at 11pm. Some even in the lower-60s. It’s going to remain

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More Volatile Temp Swings

More Volatile Temp Swings

🕔12:33, 30.Mar 2023

Discussion: High pressure will cross over NJ from NW to SE between today (Thursday) and tomorrow morning (Friday). Today/tonight’s chillier conditions are owed to the high’s front-side flow/northerly winds. Temps will hit their bottom tomorrow morning around 6am then rapidly

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Volatile Temps

Volatile Temps

🕔15:38, 27.Mar 2023

Discussion: New Jersey will stay under below-average height anomalies until about Thursday night (lower heights). This will allow for a cooler stretch (highs only reach lower-50s and drop into 30s at night – coldest day Thursday). A weak and unorganized

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