Discussion: For the most part this week, we’re going to have an upper low gradually weakening and ultimately fading away. But before that occurs, New Jersey should see a few periods of disruption, with the first being tonight. A surface
Discussion: Some AM rain pushed through this morning. We’ve been swampy since with sun and clouds…all as expected so far. Now the second stormfront is approaching NJ from the W. Thunderstorm dynamics are far superior to the W and SW
Discussion: The upper jet should sit right over NJ this week with lower heights dominating the pattern. This will keep an unsettled atmosphere over NJ, especially at the start of the week and later towards the weekend. Tuesday through Thursday
Discussion: The upper levels will transition to a zonal pattern as the trough exists our region to the E. It should stay this way until mid-next week. A mostly dry frontal passage will pass through NJ by early Saturday morning
Discussion: The upper jet is currently S of NJ which correlates to the west side of the trough that NJ is in. This means NW flow and drier (less humid) air for most of NJ. However, a trough has lower
Discussion: The upper jet will stay to the N of NJ through Saturday. On Sunday it will dip below NJ and usher in a trough. 500mb analysis correlates with this…ridging today (Friday) and tomorrow (Saturday) with the trough following for
Discussion: The upper levels are setting the stage for a heat wave. Once the current weak trough moves away, the upper jet is going to push N of NJ for a period (Tues-Sat) which will correlate with higher geopotential heights
Discussion: Nothing standing out in the upper levels again. But we do have a cold front pushing through NJ that’s attached to a low in SE Canada. Still iso storm chances for the rest of this afternoon (Friday) but otherwise
Discussion: The heat dome, you might have heard about a few weeks ago in Florida and the SE US, has gradually retrograded over the south-central US, towards the SW US and will eventually slide up into the NW US/SE Canada.
Discussion: Nothing much to talk about in the upper levels. Nothing locking in..more of a transient intermittent frequency of near-average geopotential heights. The main drivers of the current pattern are the Bermuda high and low pressure N of the Great
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