Discussion: Today (Tuesday) and tomorrow (Wednesday) will continue the onshore flow pattern at the surface due to the stubborn Rex Block configuration in the lower-mid levels. Again, that’s a high (NE US) to the N of a low (SE US)
Discussion: A moment of silence for those who have fallen for our country. Memorial Day Weekend is off to an amazing start weather-wise and it looks to continue through at least Monday morning. The above image is my current view
Discussion: There’s not much to talk about before this weekend. Monday-Wednesday looks mild and sunny with temps in the 70s however we’ll deal with hazy skies from the upstream forest fires. Thursday and Friday look cooler after a mostly dry
Discussion: The upper levels for the next week or so appear mundane with zonal flow and only slightly positive geopotential height anomalies. This should allow for a seasonably average set of temperatures with only a few showers here and there.
Discussion: The upper jet pattern this week looks meridional but progressive with an overall W/NW flow aloft. We’ll see the tip of a trough move through the region Wednesday-Thursday then an upper-low directly over NJ Saturday-Sunday. During these periods, temps
Discussion: With the exception of the immediate coasts, most New Jersey areas are into the 80s and even some flirting with 90. Today’s the last of the above-average temperature wave. A weak disturbance should approach with clouds and rain for
Discussion: Today (Monday) is obviously another pleasant day. Temps have already hit 70 almost statewide with a few coastal locations still in the 60s. Skies are mixed, and it should stay this way overnight as temps drop into the 40s/50s.
Discussion: The upper jet will finally shift to the N of New Jersey for most of the foreseeable future. 500mb geopotential heights will reflect this with near-to-above values—indicating a milder pattern setting in. Today (Friday) should be the last of
Discussion: Another week where the upper-jet will be S of NJ with NJ mostly under below-average 500mb geopotential height anomalies. This means colder than average and very unsettled. With such a condensed troposphere, moisture doesn’t have to rise as high
Discussion: The upper jet should remain over or just S of NJ for much of the near future. 500mb geopotential height analysis indicates correlating below-average height anomalies over NJ for the period ending ~May 8. Overall, that speaks most to
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