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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Fall Blows Back In

Fall Blows Back In

🕔22:56, 13.Oct 2024

Discussion: After our warmer weekend, we’re in for a transitional week. Those who saw 80s on Sunday afternoon could very well see 30s later this week overnight.  A large positive-tilted trough is establishing across the E US as a ridge

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Milder Weekend Reprise. Hard Back to Fall Next Week.

Milder Weekend Reprise. Hard Back to Fall Next Week.

🕔15:58, 10.Oct 2024

Discussion: The upper-jet is going to transition from a split-flow pattern across the E US to more of a large progressive trough by the end of this weekend. During the transition this weekend, New Jersey will spike a little milder

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Another Major Hurricane to Cripple W Florida

Another Major Hurricane to Cripple W Florida

🕔13:01, 9.Oct 2024

Discussion: This is another article that has little-to-no value for New Jersey weather interests. The only effect Hurricane Milton might have on New Jersey beaches are some slightly enhanced rip currents once Milton is out to sea near Bermuda later

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Fall to Strike Back

Fall to Strike Back

🕔14:04, 7.Oct 2024

Discussion: First we’ll talk about New Jersey this upcoming week. Then I will finish with some Hurricane Milton discussion. For this week in NJ, we have a split-flow upper jet pattern converging over the Mid-Atlantic US (analyzed at 250mb). At

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Beautiful and Mostly Dry

Beautiful and Mostly Dry

🕔16:33, 4.Oct 2024

Discussion: A mostly-dry front will push through tonight from NW to SE (or close to that axis). This might bring some very light rain to parts of NJ overnight but that’s about all the rain I see until Sunday night-Monday

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A Tale of Two Fronts

A Tale of Two Fronts

🕔13:59, 30.Sep 2024

Discussion: The upper low that captured Helene’s remnant energy has been parked over ~Kentucky for about 72 hours now. It is now a fraction of the strength it was during capture, mainly from the establishing ridge influence that’s currently floating

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What Helene’s Remnants mean for New Jersey

What Helene’s Remnants mean for New Jersey

🕔13:46, 27.Sep 2024

Discussion: Helene made landfall at Florida’s Big Bend as a category 4 major hurricane last night. Both winds and surge were catastrophic local to the landfall area while other Gulf Coast areas experienced damaging winds and extreme surge. Craploads of

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Helene to Cripple NW Florida

Helene to Cripple NW Florida

🕔15:14, 24.Sep 2024

Discussion: As it currently stands, there is still no threat to New Jersey from the ultimate track and path of now-formed Tropical Storm Helene. If you are only here for New Jersey weather, you could stop reading this article and

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Cloudy and Unsettled through Thursday

Cloudy and Unsettled through Thursday

🕔14:59, 23.Sep 2024

Discussion: I wanted to wait until today’s model suite completed regarding the developing hurricane situation in the Gulf of Mexico. What’s currently classified by the National Hurricane Center as Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine will soon be named Helene. Right now,

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Refreshing and Breezy

Refreshing and Breezy

🕔11:43, 20.Sep 2024

Discussion: The rainfall did not produce much earlier this week. SNJ saw some drizzle/light rain at times but for the most part, our water tables are continuing to lessen. The remnants from the tropical disturbance sheared out to the ocean

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