Back to homepage

Posts From Jonathan Carr

Temperatures Reload

Temperatures Reload

🕔15:54, 6.Dec 2024

Discussion: The weekend is here but first, let’s recap. It’s still technically calendar Fall for 15 days (until Dec 21). We’re only 6 days into meteorological winter. Ocean sea surface temperatures off NJ are in the mid-40s. Unless a freak

Read Full Article
Light Snow and Gusty Winds Detected

Light Snow and Gusty Winds Detected

🕔15:37, 3.Dec 2024

Discussion: A clipper system is called a clipper, mainly an Alberta Clipper because the low originates in the Alberta province of Canada and tracks into/towards the Mid-Atlantic US on the norther colder stream. Typically, a clipper is moisture-starved because there

Read Full Article
Two Light Snow Chances

Two Light Snow Chances

🕔13:42, 2.Dec 2024

Discussion: The upper jet (analyzed at 250mb) remains to the S of NJ as we freeze inside of a trough. The polar and pacific jets will be coupling by Wednesday which will help drive the expected clipper system Wednesday night

Read Full Article
Snow/Rain and then COLD!

Snow/Rain and then COLD!

🕔13:57, 27.Nov 2024

Discussion: Another round of beneficial rainfall is approaching New Jersey for Thanksgiving Day. Areas N of I-80/NW of I-287, mainly Sussex and N Warren Counties are subject to more snowfall but nowhere near the accumulations that fell and stuck last

Read Full Article
Wintry Air Mass Detected

Wintry Air Mass Detected

🕔15:03, 25.Nov 2024

Discussion: The upper-jet is expected to dip to the S of NJ once the Tuesday system is through. There it will stay until well into December. Height, analyzed at 500mb, suggests a period of troughing beginning this weekend that should

Read Full Article
On Winter’s Doorstep

On Winter’s Doorstep

🕔14:51, 22.Nov 2024

Discussion: Last night into this morning was a solid kick-off for snow season. I know that only NWNJ elevations (especially Sparta through Vernon) saw snow accumulations with the majority of NJ (lower 2/3) just seeing rain with a few flurries/snow

Read Full Article
Snow and Rain Approaching

Snow and Rain Approaching

🕔14:16, 21.Nov 2024

Discussion: The initial rainfall portion of this system fell between last night and this morning. The occluded front was enough to spark some lightning along a linear stormfront before the precipitation flattened out to a broader slug of rain. It

Read Full Article
Snowfall Detected – Tomorrow Night

Snowfall Detected – Tomorrow Night Updated

🕔16:55, 20.Nov 2024

Discussion: First, let’s level some expectations. The snow potential for tomorrow (Thursday) into Friday is not a big deal. Given the time of year and surface temperature profile, it will be hard for significant accumulations to stack up outside of

Read Full Article
Discussing First Snowfall for Some

Discussing First Snowfall for Some

🕔14:23, 18.Nov 2024

Discussion: I’m not deducing much looking at upper-jet (250mb) winds. Slight deviations in either direction but no buckling. 500mb geopotential height anomalies paint a much better picture. I can see the existing ridge eroding by Wednesday to make way for

Read Full Article
Great Weekend. But Things are Changing.

Great Weekend. But Things are Changing.

🕔15:47, 15.Nov 2024

Discussion: This past Sunday, I began discussing a synoptic storm signal for premium Kaboom Club members. Now that it’s gaining traction, we can discuss it a little more in-detail. Let’s get the boring stuff out of the way first which

Read Full Article