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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Wet Weekend Expected (Dec 5-7)

Wet Weekend Expected (Dec 5-7)

🕔20:49, 4.Dec 2014

A weak low pressure disturbance will bring rain to most of New Jersey this weekend. The rain should clear by Sunday afternoon-evening as the low pressure disturbance moves off into the ocean. It will then strengthen and interact with another

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Dec 4: Coastal Storm Update

Dec 4: Coastal Storm Update

🕔13:42, 4.Dec 2014

Model guidance continues to spray a wide variety of solutions for the possible coastal storm early next week. The timing now looks like Monday night into possibly Wednesday but again, that can drift up to a day earlier or later

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Dec 3: Coastal Storm Detected!

Dec 3: Coastal Storm Detected!

🕔11:05, 3.Dec 2014

Model guidance is picking up on a potential coastal storm early next week. Right now, the timing looks like Monday-Tuesday but there is a lot of room for that shift a day earlier or later between now and then. The

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Dec 1: Wintry Precipitation Approaching Northern NJ

Dec 1: Wintry Precipitation Approaching Northern NJ

🕔19:18, 1.Dec 2014

High pressure is currently forcing a cold front southeastward through the region with some precipitation. The cold front will eventually stop and backtrack northwestward as a warm front through tomorrow evening/Wednesday morning. Like tonight, there should be precipitation along that boundary as

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Dec 1: Winter on a Break but Will it Return?

Dec 1: Winter on a Break but Will it Return?

🕔10:29, 1.Dec 2014

Nothing in the weather world among weather freaks, geeks and snow weenies gets them more passionate than the winter and a good old fashioned snowstorm. Now I know for most of humankind who are among the sane nothing probably gets

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Seasonably Average Week Expected (Dec 1-5)

Seasonably Average Week Expected (Dec 1-5)

🕔19:47, 30.Nov 2014

With the exception of Tuesday, we’re looking at a seasonably average week for December. Some would even call it mild. Higher elevations of NW New Jersey could see wintry precipitation Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. It looks like rain for all lower elevations.

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NJ Long Range Outlook – Heading into the December Holidays

NJ Long Range Outlook – Heading into the December Holidays

🕔17:08, 30.Nov 2014

It’s time to harness the true power of WeatherTrend360’s proprietary algorithms again as we head into December. First lets break New Jersey into proper climatological regions. We have the upper elevations of NWNJ, the interior coastal plain (SWNJ through CNJ and into NENJ), and

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Cold Start and Mild Finish to Thanksgiving Weekend (Nov 28-30)

Cold Start and Mild Finish to Thanksgiving Weekend (Nov 28-30)

🕔11:39, 28.Nov 2014

Hopefully everyone had a great Thanksgiving! The weekend should start out cold and then moderate into next week towards seasonably average, if not slightly above, temperatures. Lets look at each day: Friday will struggle to reach 40 statewide with a

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Nov 25: Final Snow Map for Wednesday Winter Storm

Nov 25: Final Snow Map for Wednesday Winter Storm

🕔17:59, 25.Nov 2014

Here’s my final snow map for tomorrow. A coastal winter storm will impact most of the mid-Atlantic and Northeast US region the day before Thanksgiving. It’s now time to abandon model guidance and now-cast the system based on current observations.

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Nov 24: Winter Storm Update

Nov 24: Winter Storm Update

🕔15:17, 24.Nov 2014

A winter storm is still expected for this Wednesday which will impact millions of people traveling for the Thanksgiving Holiday. Most model guidance is currently suggesting a coastal  low pressure track near or just inside the benchmark (40N/70W). There is

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