A Cooler and Drier Break
Discussion: The upper jet is currently S of NJ which correlates to the west side of the trough that NJ is in. This means NW flow and drier (less humid) air for most of NJ. However, a trough has lower
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Posts From Jonathan Carr
Storms to Break the Heat
Discussion: The upper jet will stay to the N of NJ through Saturday. On Sunday it will dip below NJ and usher in a trough. 500mb analysis correlates with this…ridging today (Friday) and tomorrow (Saturday) with the trough following for
Heat Wave Expected this Week
Discussion: The upper levels are setting the stage for a heat wave. Once the current weak trough moves away, the upper jet is going to push N of NJ for a period (Tues-Sat) which will correlate with higher geopotential heights
Great Summer Conditions Expected
Discussion: Nothing standing out in the upper levels again. But we do have a cold front pushing through NJ that’s attached to a low in SE Canada. Still iso storm chances for the rest of this afternoon (Friday) but otherwise
Humid Pattern Continues but Not as Hot
Discussion: The heat dome, you might have heard about a few weeks ago in Florida and the SE US, has gradually retrograded over the south-central US, towards the SW US and will eventually slide up into the NW US/SE Canada.
Florida-Like Conditions Continue for New Jersey
Discussion: Nothing much to talk about in the upper levels. Nothing locking in..more of a transient intermittent frequency of near-average geopotential heights. The main drivers of the current pattern are the Bermuda high and low pressure N of the Great
The Dog Days of Summer are Here
Discussion: The upper jet and upper heights look zonal and average this week. Nothing out of the ordinary. The general pattern will be an upper low/trough located over SC Canada/NC US with ridging for NW US and extreme NE US/SE
Humid and Unsettled Conditions Expected
Discussion: This weekend, we’ll be on the front side of two troughs missing a phase. This will result in SW flow at multiple layers, primarily aloft. Surface flow will be more S or SE. This is a recipe for very
Hotter Humid Pattern Sustains
Discussion: Established and prolonged ridging for the E US is still not expected anytime soon. We may see this develop for the second half of July. But for now, we’ll stay in a low-to-average geopotential height field. This basically will
4th of July Outlook
Discussion: Sorry I am just getting to the weekend update, or what’s left of it. Life has been busy but the most recent outlook seemed to have covered through yesterday just fine. This outlook will cover through Wednesday. The most
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