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Posts From Jonathan Carr

How Every Meteorologist (Including Myself) Got it WRONG!

How Every Meteorologist (Including Myself) Got it WRONG!

🕔09:19, 27.Jan 2015

The Worst Storm in our Lifetime it was being called. Preemptive State of Emergencies. Statewide Travel Bans – Even NYC closed its bridges and tunnels for the first time in recent memory. So how could the entire weather community get

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KABOOM!!! Snow Map for Tonight through Tuesday

KABOOM!!! Snow Map for Tonight through Tuesday

🕔17:17, 25.Jan 2015

The clipper is already approaching the Ohio Valley and is looking strong! It will transfer to the OBX area, move towards the benchmark (40N/70W) and bomb out to a very strong low pressure system (sub 980mb). It might actually retrograde/stall

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Jan 24: Snow Storm Detected!

Jan 24: Snow Storm Detected!

🕔17:06, 24.Jan 2015

Up until today, models have been advertising another clipper for Monday with just light accumulations from a few passing showers. Today’s guidance has trended towards a possible major snow storm in the Sunday night-Tuesday time-frame. Here’s the details… First, I’d

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Jan 23: Final Call on Weekend Winter Storm

Jan 23: Final Call on Weekend Winter Storm

🕔11:37, 23.Jan 2015

A deepening low pressure disturbance will take a classic “benchmark 40N/70W” track between now and Saturday. This will bring up a decent amount of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico as well as throw in a lot of moisture from the Atlantic

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Jan 22: Watching Monday for Snow

Jan 22: Watching Monday for Snow

🕔18:26, 22.Jan 2015

Regardless of how the snow/rain line plays out tomorrow night through Saturday, the associated low will be powerful. Guidance is unanimous on a sub 980mb low once it begins impacting New England on Saturday night-Sunday. This will pull very cold

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Jan 22: Weekend Winter Storm Update

Jan 22: Weekend Winter Storm Update

🕔16:00, 22.Jan 2015

A deepening low pressure disturbance will take a classic “benchmark 40N/70W” track between tomorrow and Saturday. This will bring up a a decent amount of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico as well as throw in a lot of moisture from

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Jan 21: First Call Snow Map for Saturday

Jan 21: First Call Snow Map for Saturday

🕔21:05, 21.Jan 2015

Discussion: Intensifying low pressure will track from Texas across the northern Gulf of Mexico and up the east coast over the next 72 hours. The storm track is currently modeled to eject into the Atlantic Ocean somewhere over OBX and pass

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Jan 21: Weekend Snow Storm a GO!

Jan 21: Weekend Snow Storm a GO!

🕔14:26, 21.Jan 2015

Model guidance continues to advertise a major coastal low pressure system in the ideal “Benchmark 40N/70W” track/location this weekend. This would mean significant to major snowfall throughout most of New Jersey and surrounding big cities this Saturday. Let’s go right

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Jan 20: Final Call Map for Wednesday Snow

Jan 20: Final Call Map for Wednesday Snow

🕔20:30, 20.Jan 2015

Here’s my final call for tomorrow’s snow.. My rationale after reviewing the latest guidance is mostly based on a connection between the northern low and the coastal low (both weak). The darker blue area should see the most precipitation from

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Jan 20: Major Storm Threats for the Northeast

Jan 20: Major Storm Threats for the Northeast

🕔14:56, 20.Jan 2015

If it winds up that we have not one but 2 major storms to deal with only a couple of days apart it would be the first time that I can remember ever seeing something like this. In fact I

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