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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Hurricane Lee New Jersey Discussion

Hurricane Lee New Jersey Discussion

🕔16:22, 7.Sep 2023

Discussion: Before we get into Hurricane Lee, I want to address the rest of today and the next few days leading into the weekend. There are currently (as of Thursday Sept 7 – 4:15pm) storms firing in EPA and MD

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September Heat Rages. Tropics Awake.

September Heat Rages. Tropics Awake.

🕔14:32, 5.Sep 2023

Discussion: We should have SW flow in the mid-upper levels this week. This should sustain the warmer airmass through at least Thursday, possibly Friday despite the W/NW or even NW flow at the lower-levels. The source of the lower-level flow

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The Labor Day Weekend Outlook

The Labor Day Weekend Outlook

🕔13:43, 31.Aug 2023

Discussion: Idalia tracked across the SE US after delivering a major hurricane landfall early Wednesday morning in the W FL big bend area. Idalia is now pushing out to sea off the S OBX area. High pressure is approaching which

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Transitional Conditions Expected

Transitional Conditions Expected

🕔16:34, 28.Aug 2023

Discussion: I had a feeling the tropics were going to heat up when we were on vacation. But we’re back and normal updates will now resume. Our 4-year-old daughter had the time of her life in Disney World. Our first

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Humidity Retreats

Humidity Retreats

🕔16:24, 18.Aug 2023

Discussion: An upper low will move out of the region this weekend leaving NW flow aloft in its wake. This should allow for less humid conditions to persist despite hotter daytime temperatures. Recently, it has been very humid with a

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More Thunderstorm Potential Tonight

More Thunderstorm Potential Tonight

🕔15:41, 15.Aug 2023

Discussion: The most important weather scenario to discuss is this evening. Last night’s storms petered out for many to just a rainy breeze, but we are lucky. The dynamics were there for severe/tornado potential. If I had to make that

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Thunderstorms Approaching for Tonight

Thunderstorms Approaching for Tonight

🕔17:01, 14.Aug 2023

Discussion: For the most part this week, we’re going to have an upper low gradually weakening and ultimately fading away. But before that occurs, New Jersey should see a few periods of disruption, with the first being tonight. A surface

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Thunderstorms Approaching!

Thunderstorms Approaching!

🕔15:18, 7.Aug 2023

Discussion: Some AM rain pushed through this morning. We’ve been swampy since with sun and clouds…all as expected so far. Now the second stormfront is approaching NJ from the W. Thunderstorm dynamics are far superior to the W and SW

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Mixed Summer Conditions

Mixed Summer Conditions

🕔23:43, 6.Aug 2023

Discussion: The upper jet should sit right over NJ this week with lower heights dominating the pattern. This will keep an unsettled atmosphere over NJ, especially at the start of the week and later towards the weekend. Tuesday through Thursday

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Conditions Improve after Friday

Conditions Improve after Friday

🕔14:28, 4.Aug 2023

Discussion: The upper levels will transition to a zonal pattern as the trough exists our region to the E. It should stay this way until mid-next week. A mostly dry frontal passage will pass through NJ by early Saturday morning

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