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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Thanksgiving Travel Plan

Thanksgiving Travel Plan

🕔16:47, 20.Nov 2023

Discussion: Not much to deduce from the upper levels as most flow is zonal with alternating height profiles. If you are going to travel this week, it will be dry today through tomorrow afternoon. Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday night and

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Warm Snap Ends

Warm Snap Ends

🕔16:29, 16.Nov 2023

Discussion: We’re currently (Thursday) under the warmer influence of a ridge that will depart the E US by Saturday morning. Areas away from the ocean should dip into the 30s overnight tonight (Thursday night) with coastal areas holding closer to

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Cold Start Mild Finish

Cold Start Mild Finish

🕔17:00, 13.Nov 2023

Discussion: Models were correct about a week ago in that a ridge would develop now, out in the W/C US, and reciprocate a colder trough for the extreme EC which includes NJ. This should start us off colder this week

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Colder Air Settles In

Colder Air Settles In

🕔15:16, 9.Nov 2023

Discussion: Not seeing anything noteworthy in the upper levels for this week. A ridge will try to develop out W but not quite W US…more like W/C US. This will still reciprocate a trough for the E US (the very

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Slightly Unsettled and Volatile

Slightly Unsettled and Volatile

🕔15:52, 6.Nov 2023

Discussion: The upper pattern appears zonal through this Friday. A few minor deviations in geopotential heights but otherwise, flat and zonal. A more meridional (dynamic) jet pattern should emerge this weekend as a ridge forms for the W US. This

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A Gorgeous Fall Weekend

A Gorgeous Fall Weekend

🕔13:58, 3.Nov 2023

Discussion: The upper jet is in a split-stream pattern heading into this weekend. It should eventually even out into a single upper jet next week, first a bit zonal, but then with an axis out of the NW. This tells

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Colder Air Returns

Colder Air Returns

🕔13:50, 30.Oct 2023

Discussion: I apologize I wasn’t able to get a more detailed weekend outlook out for this past weekend. I was only able to do a quick update late Friday night. It was a busy life weekend but here we are.

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Unseasonable Warmth into a Dry Weekend!

Unseasonable Warmth into a Dry Weekend!

🕔14:14, 23.Oct 2023

Discussion: The upper-levels should form a strong and prolonged ridge over the E US this week into the weekend. This means anonymously mild/warm temperatures and likely no rain. You heard right, the weekend, this weekend, right before Halloween, currently looks

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Nuisance Rain and Wind to Start

Nuisance Rain and Wind to Start

🕔14:46, 19.Oct 2023

This weekend article proudly advertises a charity event that is close to my heart. It goes back over 10 years to a few of us setting up a Halloween maze in my buddy’s driveway. Since then it has grown into

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Oh Look More Weekend Rain

Oh Look More Weekend Rain

🕔14:57, 16.Oct 2023

Discussion: The dreaded weekend rain pattern continues. I feel like this should be a Star Wars crawl. It was nice to see this past weekend’s system exit in time for a salvageable Sunday. Rain totals varied wildly as expected with

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