Model guidance is starting to converge on a solution for Monday into Tuesday. Here are my current thoughts. Tomorrow night’s map will have snow accumulations and ice estimations. Such values are currently too uncertain for me to estimate: The darkest
The most recent model guidance is indicating that a low pressure disturbance will form in the Texas area early Monday morning. It should then track through the SE US and turn up the east coast. It will grab a lot of
The weekend looks frigid and another winter storm signal is showing for early next week. Let’s break it all down. Today‘s high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 30s statewide. AM snow bands should move offshore but we’re subject to random localized snow
There it is. The inverted trough. Forecasting kryptonite. You can see see it animated here. The upper-low (clipper) is moving through the E Great Lakes. It’s bringing energy around it’s southern side which is keeping the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US under large
The coldest air mass of the entire winter is coming to New Jersey this weekend. Arctic high pressure will drop out of Canada over the Great Lakes and literally hurl down some of the coldest air on the planet through
Low pressure has jumped to the Mid-Atlantic coast and is moving out to sea. You can make out the cyclonic flow east of OBX on the Earth map image. Low pressure will also remain behind over the Great Lakes. The
The clipper has reached the end of its road near the Great Lakes. Over the next 6 hours, I expect it to transfer to the Mid-Atlantic coast as indicated below. It will then strengthen as it moves NE and help
Here’s are my thoughts heading into this redonkulously difficult forecast: Discussion: Low pressure is about to transfer from the Great Lakes to the Mid-Atlantic coast near the VA/NC border. It will then move NE into the Atlantic Ocean and bring upon
The coastal low has intensified below 980mb and continues to deepen. It’s located directly east of the Delmarva Peninsula but pretty far out to sea. It appears that the NW extent of its precipitation shield is just starting to impact
The coastal low has deepened down to about 986mb. Coastal New Jersey should already be feeling the NE winds associated with the cyclonic flow to the north of the low. This should begin elevating tides above normal. Once the winds eventually switch
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