Feb 23: Thunderstorms Detected!
The system that brought snow, rain and wind to New Jersey today is on it’s way out to sea. The more powerful low will now track through the Ohio Valley, over the E Great Lakes and into Canada while rapidly
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Posts From Jonathan Carr
Feb 23: Tuesday Morning Observations
The first and weaker surface low is located just N of the Outer Banks in North Carolina. Precipitation has spread throughout the lower 2/3 of New Jersey and is slowly advancing northward. As far as the wintry precipitation profile goes, most
Unsettled Week Expected (Feb 22-26)
Most of the week looks unsettled with wintry precipitation possible tomorrow in NNJ and rainfall possible statewide through Thursday. We should then dry out for an okay weekend. Let’s break it down. Monday (Feb 22) high temperatures should reach the
Feb 21: Storm Update
I’m getting a much better picture of how this week is going to play out weather-wise. The main low pressure system that I’ve been monitoring for Tuesday-Wednesday has trended NW with its track. Given that the energy is now getting
Mild Weekend Expected (Feb 19-21)
We’re well below freezing tonight through tomorrow morning but temperatures then look to moderate for the weekend. Then we’re likely going to have to deal with a coastal low pressure system bringing rain, wind and coastal flooding to the Jersey
Feb 16: Moving Forward
Some short-range model guidance has been hinting at a period of light snow showers overnight/early tomorrow morning but there’s just not much bite to them on live obs. Basically some weak energy is being strung out to our south but has the
Feb 16: Tuesday Morning Observations
A lot of rain is about to fall between now and afternoon hours. The low is tracking through PA from S/SW to N/NE towards interior New England. As it does so, a very heavy band of precipitation will move through New
Feb 15: Monday Night Observations
Most precipitation has changed over from snow to either sleet, freezing rain or plain rain depending on where you are. Most of SENJ has spiked into the 40s and should be all rain from hereon out. Parts of SWNJ and WCNJ are
Feb 15: Late Afternoon Observations
Precipitation continues to spread northward through New Jersey. The high pressure in the ocean has provided E/SE flow which has taken surface temps for coastal NJ and SENJ above freezing. The 850mb southerly jet is taking shape from the developing
Feb 15: Monday Morning Observations
After some “here and there” light snowfall overnight, heavier rates are now pushing further into SNJ. The principals of this system remain as called. Front end snow (mostly light accumulations) eventually changing to all rain with a possible period of ice between (moreso
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