Outlook through Christmas
Discussion: A broad area of high pressure has provided colder flow the last few days while it was set up to our NW. It is now passing over the east coast and heading out to sea. While the high is
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Posts From Jonathan Carr
Rainstorm Developing for Sunday-Monday
Discussion: We’re dry and milder through Saturday. A rainstorm is currently developing and will deliver impacts to New Jersey from Sunday afternoon through Monday morning. The low is currently developing in the Gulf of Mexico and will ride up the
Another Late-Weekend Storm Detected
Discussion: A strong ridge, centered over the Great Lakes, will dominate our New Jersey weather pattern for the next few days (through Sunday) with dry and milder conditions. Here’s the latest GFS-modeled ridge for later tonight into tomorrow morning. Notice
Major New Jersey Snow Storms
Lets travel back in time and check out some major snow storms that have affected New Jersey in the past. But first, lets talk about the unique geological and climatological features that have contributed to these major New Jersey snow
New Jersey Dries Out
Discussion: The storm system has cleared out. Decent rainfall across New Jersey. Winds got up there for coastal regions last night and especially with the frontal passage around/just after midnight. But most gusts remained below 45mph. Areas away from the
Storm Begins for Jersey
Discussion: The colder trend came to an end on overnight ultra short-range model guidance. Therefore, expectations of how much snow could fall in New Jersey Monday morning are becoming confident. But there’s more to this storm to talk about. To
Monitoring Messy Monday Morning
Discussion: I’ve been watching model guidance trend colder and colder, for this coming Sunday PM-Monday AM storm system, so it’s time for an update. Up until today, the data suggested a mostly rain system for New Jersey. This was because
Dry and Mild leads to Stormy then Colder
Discussion: A decent transition from dry and mild to stormy and cold will take place between now and Monday. Weekend conditions will initially be dominated by a ridge covering most of the E US (northern 2/3). This makes the forecast
Snow is Approaching!
Discussion: First, I must apologize. I just got home from a work trip and I am a bit out of sorts from being unable to stay connected to the latest model guidance and live observations. But here we are now
Colder Air Briefly Returns
Discussion: A ridge is currently (as of Sunday afternoon) departing the E US. With it will go our above-average temperatures and the series of disturbances that brought rain this past Friday and today (Sunday). The rest of this week should
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