Cold and Mostly Dry (Feb 3-5)
I just took this picture tonight on my way home. It’s been a while since I’ve been able to grab a sunset shot. So there’s that. Otherwise, high pressure has control of the region this weekend. That should keep it
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Posts From Jonathan Carr
February 2017 Outlook
It’s time to harness the WeatherTrends360 proprietary weather algorithms to see how February of 2017 should play out. But first lets break New Jersey into proper climatological regions. We have the higher elevations of NNJ/NWNJ, the interior coastal plain (SWNJ through CNJ and into
Jan 31: What Superbowl Storm?
What once looked like a major snow storm on fantasy-range model guidance now appears weak. Let’s break it down… Disco: A low pressure system will come off the Pacific Ocean onto the W US coast near N California/Oregon in a
Jan 30: Snow Map for Tomorrow
This time NNJ is targeted for a light snow event. Let’s break it down… Click here to view full resolution snow map. Disco: A quick moving shortwave will trail the system that brought snow to extreme SENJ this morning. At
Jan 30: Flizzards Possible Today
Instability-driven snow showers are possible later this afternoon into evening. Let’s break it down… First, a quick recap of this morning. The light snow event happened but about 20-30 miles SE of expectation. Overnight dynamics panned out a bit flatter than
Jan 29: Snow Map for Tomorrow Morning
SNJ has snow on the way. Here’s the last prediction before live observations begin… Click here for full resolution snow map. Disco: It’s apparent, from looking at radar and other live obs data, that energy is rounding the trough and
Jan 29: Snow Approaching
Snow is on the way for parts of SNJ. Here are my latest thoughts on amounts and timing… Disco: I’ve always been impressed with the upper-level setup surrounding this “first-of-four” snow possibilities this week. If you look at 500-700mb heights, there’s
Jan 27: Snow Discussion
Some snow possibilities are starting to show up on model guidance. Let’s break it down… If I had a nickel every time someone asked me “When’s it going to snow? or “Where’s the snow?” I’d be working Weather NJ full-time.
Cold Dry Weekend Expected (Jan 27-29)
Rain has cleared out and we’re now looking cold and dry for the weekend. Let’s break it down… Disco: The frontal wave/disturbance that brought light rainfall to the region has cleared out. A cold front is moving through tonight-tomorrow and it
Jan 24: The Return of Cold
The January thaw is about to end as we approach a prolonged period of cold. Let’s break it down… First, a quick recap of the coastal storm. NWNJ saw wintry precipitation in the form of mostly sleet/some wet snow. The
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