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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Conditions Gradually Improve

Conditions Gradually Improve

🕔15:23, 5.Apr 2024

Discussion: The upper low is still meandering off coastal New England (Gulf of Maine area) placing New Jersey on its SW side. We therefore have NW flow with lower geopotential heights and unsettled conditions. As long as we are within

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Stormier Conditions Approaching!

Stormier Conditions Approaching!

🕔16:39, 2.Apr 2024

Discussion: Another slug of precipitation is just finishing up in NJ and departing out to sea. We should see a small lull this evening before more returns overnight into tomorrow (Wednesday). Tomorrow will likely feature the heaviest rainfall and stormiest

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Cooler Rainier Pattern Sustains

Cooler Rainier Pattern Sustains

🕔16:09, 1.Apr 2024

Discussion: An upper-level low will move into the region by Tuesday/Wednesday and meander around the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US through this weekend. It will keep NJ wet through at least Thursday night, possibly Friday. The stormiest conditions should occur Wednesday PM just

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Milder Mostly Nice Weekend. Snow?

Milder Mostly Nice Weekend. Snow?

🕔15:21, 29.Mar 2024

Discussion: This weekend is straightforward. A mild and zonal setup with a weak disturbance floating through Saturday night into Sunday morning. Looks like nuisance rain showers that will occur overnight—sparing Saturday and Sunday daylight hours with just sun, clouds, and

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Another Soaker Approaches

Another Soaker Approaches

🕔15:03, 27.Mar 2024

Discussion: The center of the approaching system is actually in SE Canada which is producing a large mid-latitude cyclone for much of E North America. For NJ, we’ll see the southern side of it in the form of a cold

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Coastal Flooding Kicks the Week Off

Coastal Flooding Kicks the Week Off

🕔15:30, 25.Mar 2024

Discussion: The most important and immediate up-front issue to discuss is the coastal flooding. Earlier last week you might recall me mentioning that the early part of this week could see worse coastal flooding than during the Saturday rain and

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Rain and Windstorm Approaching

Rain and Windstorm Approaching

🕔21:55, 22.Mar 2024

Discussion: The colder air mass is finished and most likely so are snowstorm chances until we approach Winter 2024-2025. New Jersey will now see a rain and wind event tomorrow (Saturday) which will start the transition towards a milder pattern

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Colder Week. Stormy Weekend.

Colder Week. Stormy Weekend.

🕔15:41, 18.Mar 2024

Discussion: This week is fairly straightforward as a trough swings through the Mid-Atlantic US and holds New Jersey under a colder air mass. The week looks mostly dry with breezy W/NW winds. A few chances for light precip, mainly in

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Mild Weekend Precedes Colder Week

Mild Weekend Precedes Colder Week

🕔00:57, 16.Mar 2024

Discussion: We have a few more mild days this weekend before the pattern changes. Saturday looks like the sunnier drier day. Sunday subject to more clouds and passing isolated showers but far from a washout. The cold frontal passage looks

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Some Nice Stuff this Week

Some Nice Stuff this Week

🕔15:01, 11.Mar 2024

Discussion: I saw a few areas got hit with some nasty snow showers and squalls yesterday…not much accumulation (a coating here and there) but a hard hit of reduced visibility and winds can really pack a punch. I had a

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