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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Sept 3: East Coast Irma Landfall Chances Increasing

Sept 3: East Coast Irma Landfall Chances Increasing

🕔10:02, 3.Sep 2017

Discussion: The immediate concern remains for the NE Caribbean Islands/Lesser Antilles. Everyone from the Haiti/Dominican Republic area through about Martinique/St. Lucia should be preparing for at least some level of tropical impact even if just outer fringe spiral band interaction. The

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Sept 2: Irma Concerns Growing

Sept 2: Irma Concerns Growing

🕔11:07, 2.Sep 2017

Discussion: Irma’s impact beyond the NE Caribbean is still very uncertain. If you’re here for an exact US landfall prediction then I’m sorry to disappoint. A more practical discussion would be to analyze the modeled steering forces responsible for the recent high-impact US

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Mixed Weather Expected (Sept 1-4)

Mixed Weather Expected (Sept 1-4)

🕔10:44, 1.Sep 2017

Today and Monday seem like the better days of the holiday weekend. Let’s break it down… Discussion: High pressure has hold today but will depart into the Atlantic Ocean just ahead of Harvey’s remnants. Such remnants will float through from

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Aug 30: Irmagerd, Another One?

Aug 30: Irmagerd, Another One?

🕔16:10, 30.Aug 2017

A hurricane is developing in the Atlantic Ocean. Let’s break it down… Discussion: Another tropical wave of low pressure has departed the Cape Verde Island region off W Africa. This system is rapidly organizing and already named by the NWS

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Aug 28: Coastal Storm Approaching

Aug 28: Coastal Storm Approaching

🕔20:31, 28.Aug 2017

A coastal storm is approaching from the south. Let’s break it down… Discussion: An upper-level shortwave is maturing into a closed off upper-level low while swinging through the Great Lakes. It will interact with Harvey’s upper-level energy which will hold it

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Watching Coastal Storm (Aug 28-Sept 1)

Watching Coastal Storm (Aug 28-Sept 1)

🕔20:25, 27.Aug 2017

The start and end of the week look okay. Let’s break it down… Discussion: An upper level trough will swing through the Great Lakes and interact with both Harvey’s remnants and the coastal energy currently moving up the coast. The

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Aug 26: East Coast Storm to Form

Aug 26: East Coast Storm to Form

🕔13:32, 26.Aug 2017

A hybrid-type storm will form and move up the coast this week. Let’s break it down… Discussion: At the upper levels, a trough will be swinging through the Great Lakes region this week as a surface feature organizes near/over Florida

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Gorgeous Weather Expected (Aug 25-27)

Gorgeous Weather Expected (Aug 25-27)

🕔21:00, 24.Aug 2017

This weekend should feature sunny, dry and comfortable weather. Let’s break it down… Weekend Discussion: I know the word gorgeous is relative. Some find winter snow and/or brutal humidity gorgeous but most find S California conditions to be perfect for

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Transitional Weather Expected (Aug 21-15)

Transitional Weather Expected (Aug 21-15)

🕔19:29, 20.Aug 2017

This week should transition from summery to an early taste of fall… Discussion: High pressure will slide into the ocean and provide a warm and humid flow through Wednesday morning. This should keep the region unsettled with rainfall and thunderstorms

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Looking Good After Unsettled Friday (Aug 18-20)

Looking Good After Unsettled Friday (Aug 18-20)

🕔19:16, 17.Aug 2017

Saturday and Sunday look much better than Friday. Also watching the tropics… Discussion: A low pressure system tracking through the Great Lakes into SE Canada will drag a cold front through the region between Friday and early Saturday morning. As

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