Discussion: Jose is gone, even the system’s upper-level energy. We’re left with the decaying stubborn ridge over NE US/SE Canada that will take time to break down completely. Therefore, the current warm and muggy temperatures should gradually step down through
Discussion: The 12Z model suite today unanimously initialized with good agreement on live-observations, especially with respect to the 250-500mb flow around the approaching trough. Therefore, I’m confident in serious upper-level E/NE (out to sea) steering currents north of the 35N
Discussion: There is no doubt a westward trend of Maria’s expected track on most model guidance today, especially when comparing to last night and yesterday’s model suites. Let’s talk present before talking future. Here are the current vitals from the
A warm, sunny and humid weekend is expected while we watch Hurricane Maria. Let’s break it down… Friday (Sept 22) high temperatures should reach 80 for most with interior CNJ/SNJ possibly taking a run at mid-to-upper 80s. I wouldn’t be
Discussion: Up until yesterday, most long-range model guidance was grim with respect to Maria and the US East Coast. Most had a direct landfall for the SE US. Yesterday there were signs of improvement as about half of the models
Discussion: Let’s address the immediate issues with Jose real quick. Jose is currently crossing the 35N latitude (same latitude as OBX). From this point and northward, Jose is will pass over colder water which will finish the extra-tropical transition process
Discussion: You’re probably going to hear about tropical storm watches/warnings issued for the Jersey coast soon. Here are my latest thoughts. Jose will have tremendous influence on our weather for the start of this week. Even though Jose’s center of circulation
Weekend Discussion: Between high pressure moving across Maine/Nova Scotia and Jose moving up the coast, a tight wind gradient should develop by the end of the weekend. For Saturday and Sunday we’re likely just looking at light winds out of
Discussion: Jose is currently a strong tropical storm positioned between Puerto Rico and Bermuda. The system is emerging from the loop it just took and is now moving W/NW towards the SE US. Jose is expected to re-gain hurricane status
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