Discussion: I’ve been watching this tremendous blocking pattern evolve and unfold for a while now. There is no doubt it’s coming. As a quick refresher, blocking is represented by a negative-phased state of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). It means
Discussion: Monday through Thursday AM is fairly straight-forward. Passing high pressure should have complete control of the region underneath a building ridge of upper-level heights. This means dry, sunny and relatively mild weather for NJ from Monday through Thursday morning.
Discussion: A near-stationary Bermuda high will allow multiple disturbances to rotate around its NW quadrant through NJ this weekend. This should produce on-and-off periods of rainfall through Sunday afternoon/evening. There’s a little concern for icing in the NNJ elevations on
Discussion: The main upper-level player for this week is a strong building ridge over the E US. A slow moving Bermuda high should pump this ridge with return flow. This pattern is more typical of mid-summer and it should last
Click here to view full-resolution snow map! Discussion: We’ve made a few tweaks based on live observations and the latest guidance data. Temperatures dropped below freezing statewide early this morning as expected. Warm air advection however has already spread into
Click here for full-resolution impact map! Discussion: We’ve beaten this system to death now. It’s a weak wave traversing a frontal boundary that will first be pushed to our S overnight tonight and then brought back up into NJ tomorrow.
Click here for full-resolution impact map! Discussion: Not much has changed since last night’s article. We have a weak coastal low tracking close to SENJ. That’s going to put zone A and B in the most probable zone for a
Discussion: Passing scattered rain showers with isolated downpours are possible overnight tonight followed by a very mild Thursday into Friday. We’re talking highs into the 60s. More rain showers are expected Friday ahead of the cold front but then we drop.
Discussion: Our washout rain system is just about finished. A slow-to-exit boundary likely means more rainfall along and SE of I-95 through mid-to-late morning on Monday. After that we’re dry and relatively mild until about Thursday. Between Thursday and Friday
Discussion: A weak wave could scrape NNJ with flurries/snow showers Friday afternoon-evening but little-to-no accumulation is expected. Departing high pressure should then establish in the W Atlantic and re-enforce warmer southerly flow as a weak low tracks through NJ from
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