Back to homepage

Posts From Jonathan Carr

Cold Week Expected (Dec 25-29)

Cold Week Expected (Dec 25-29)

🕔17:18, 24.Dec 2017

Discussion: Please be careful tonight, especially in NWNJ, as wintry precipitation is likely. We have not changed our forecast and snow map. Immediately following this system will be strong winds out of the W/NW. Gusts of 40mph+ are possible throughout

Read Full Article
Dec 23: Weather to Impact Holiday Travel

Dec 23: Weather to Impact Holiday Travel

🕔14:05, 23.Dec 2017

Click here for full resolution snow map! Discussion: Once today’s warmer disturbance tracks away to our NE, two more disturbances should track parallel to the Appalachian Mountains between Sunday-Monday (Christmas Eve-Day). The low closer to the Apps will likely transfer to

Read Full Article
Unsettled Conditions Expected (Dec 22-24)

Unsettled Conditions Expected (Dec 22-24)

🕔19:01, 21.Dec 2017

Discussion: An area of ridging should dominate the weather pattern through Sunday. This means milder temperatures overall with an especially gloomy Saturday. While Saturday does not look like an all-day washout, it should feature periods of fog, drizzle and on/off

Read Full Article
Milder Conditions Expected (Dec 18-22)

Milder Conditions Expected (Dec 18-22)

🕔20:48, 17.Dec 2017

Discussion: Real quick, scattered light precipitation could fall overnight tonight. Only NJ areas N of  I-78 would be cold enough for wintry precipitation. Very light amounts are expected but could still slick-up the early AM rush hour commute tomorrow. Moving

Read Full Article
Dec 15: Snow Map for Today

Dec 15: Snow Map for Today

🕔09:56, 15.Dec 2017

Click here to see full resolution snow map! Discussion: A strong 250mb jet streak is howling from W to E over the OBX area. 500mb height anomalies are below average over the E US as several weak shortwaves couple up

Read Full Article
Cold Possibly Snowy Start. Milder Finish (Dec 15-17)

Cold Possibly Snowy Start. Milder Finish (Dec 15-17)

🕔16:36, 14.Dec 2017

Discussion: About the only thing worth discussing this weekend is a coastal disturbance. The low should form off OBX Friday AM and track SE of the 40N/70W benchmark out-to-sea through Friday night/early Saturday AM. The flow is progressive (a quick

Read Full Article
Dec 13: More Snow Expected Overnight

Dec 13: More Snow Expected Overnight

🕔14:02, 13.Dec 2017

Click here to see full resolution snow map! Map Notes: Please see below. Area A could still see some coatings in that area, especially for the southern PA and northern DE counties. Some model disagreement for those areas, but most

Read Full Article
Cold Pattern Reloads (Dec 11-15)

Cold Pattern Reloads (Dec 11-15)

🕔12:51, 11.Dec 2017

Discussion: A few upper-level shortwaves will be syncing up within a broader longwave trough. This trough is expected to swing through our area this week. The upper level dynamics will no doubt produce a surface disturbance but such should stay

Read Full Article
Dec 8: Final Call Snow Map for Saturday

Dec 8: Final Call Snow Map for Saturday

🕔19:00, 8.Dec 2017

Click here to see full resolution snow map! Discussion: The 250mb jet streak over our region continues to impress for this event. This should help enhance frontogenic forcing/lifting below at the 700mb level which translates to heavier snow rates at

Read Full Article
Wintry Conditions Expected (Dec 8-10)

Wintry Conditions Expected (Dec 8-10)

🕔10:05, 8.Dec 2017

Discussion: A low pressure system will track just offshore near the benchmark with about a 990-995mb intensity. This should be enough to throw wintry precipitation off the ocean all the way into PA with NJ seeing the jackpot of accumulations.

Read Full Article