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Posts From Jonathan Carr

North Jersey Winter Storm Developing

North Jersey Winter Storm Developing Updated

🕔14:56, 11.Feb 2024

Discussion: After a lengthy analysis of this thread-the-needle system, we are ready to make an actual forecast. I’m going to start this article the same way I did the last two…with an expectation set. 1 – This storm is still

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Snowstorm Eyeing North Jersey Tuesday

Snowstorm Eyeing North Jersey Tuesday

🕔14:43, 10.Feb 2024

Discussion: I want to re-emphasize a few points from my article two days ago. 1 – This Tuesday storm is not within the favorable snowstorm pattern that is developing. That begins right after this storm, and I still expect at

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Snowstorm Detected Early Next Week

Snowstorm Detected Early Next Week

🕔18:54, 8.Feb 2024

Discussion: The chances for at least some, possibly a lot, of New Jersey seeing a snowstorm early next week are increasing. I know it’s hard to imagine the possibility given how mild today through Monday will be. But we do

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Spring Tease Precedes Winter Finale

Spring Tease Precedes Winter Finale

🕔15:06, 6.Feb 2024

Discussion: This article is a deeper dive into the next few weeks. Let’s first talk about the expected warmup to occur later this week. Today and tomorrow are still somewhat cooler (highs in the 40s lows in the 20s for

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Clear and Sunny but Colder

Clear and Sunny but Colder

🕔15:05, 1.Feb 2024

Discussion: There’s not much to discuss until we approach the more favorable cold/snow pattern later this month. Today (Thursday) was mild but tomorrow will feel different. A slug of pecip should push through NJ overnight tonight from W/NW to E/SE

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February Snow Pattern Emerging

February Snow Pattern Emerging

🕔16:46, 31.Jan 2024

Discussion: Before we talk about this “NSFW snow lover content” I want to set a few expectations and reality checks. First, big snow is not guaranteed every year in New Jersey. Heck, sometimes even small snow is not guaranteed every

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January Thaw to Conclude this Week

January Thaw to Conclude this Week

🕔15:51, 29.Jan 2024

Discussion: Our weak thread-the-needle system has departed, leaving NNJ only with a graze of mixed wintry precipitation and under temporary N/NW flow. This will produce a colder night tonight (Monday night) than what we’ve gotten used to for the past

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Another System Approaching NJ. Snow Graze for NNJ

Another System Approaching NJ. Snow Graze for NNJ

🕔16:50, 27.Jan 2024

Discussion: Just a few small adaptations on today’s impact map. Let’s just walk through it in phases. Our break in the rain will end tonight (Saturday) around midnight as more rain moves into the region from the W and spreads

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Snow to Graze North Jersey Sunday-Monday AM

Snow to Graze North Jersey Sunday-Monday AM Updated

🕔16:56, 26.Jan 2024

Discussion: We are supposed to be in a warmer non-snowy pattern right now…between the colder pattern earlier this month and before the colder pattern to set up in February. However sometimes a system threads the needle in a crappy pattern.

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Wait, it could snow again on Monday?

Wait, it could snow again on Monday?

🕔15:01, 24.Jan 2024

Discussion: The January thaw is underway, and rain is starting to trickle into the region. Rain will fill into more of NJ overnight tonight (Wednesday night) with a more widespread rain expected through Thursday ending Friday morning. We should then

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