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Posts From Jonathan Carr

March 13: Final Storm Update and a Look Ahead

March 13: Final Storm Update and a Look Ahead

🕔12:42, 13.Mar 2018

Discussion: In my opinion the Upper-Level Low (ULL) moved into the Great Lakes region a hair quicker than expected yesterday-overnight. Also, it crossed the US border with a heading a hair closer to due S rather than S/SE. This rippled through to

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March 12: Winter Storm Approaching

March 12: Winter Storm Approaching

🕔12:52, 12.Mar 2018

Please click here for full-resolution snow map! Discussion: The primary coastal surface low has formed off South Carolina. It should track just off OBX today and then just to the SE of the 40N/70W benchmark by Tuesday morning. At 500mb, the

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March 11: Winter Storm Expected

March 11: Winter Storm Expected

🕔17:30, 11.Mar 2018

Please click here for full-resolution snow map! Discussion: Today is a relatively mild nice sunny day and with good reason. The sun angle is rapidly increasing and the clock adjustment even further brings it home. I want this idea to set

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March 10: Winter Storm Concern Growing

March 10: Winter Storm Concern Growing

🕔18:12, 10.Mar 2018

Discussion: I wish I had more to give you at this point but we’re still in a holding pattern due to the complexity of the upper-level physics. We are looking slightly snowier than yesterday though. This is no longer about the

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March 9: More Snow Possible

March 9: More Snow Possible

🕔21:17, 9.Mar 2018

Discussion: For the third time in less than 2 weeks we have a very complicated upper-level setup. The remnant upper-level low (ULL) from Wednesday’s nor’easter is pulling away but still having influence on our region as the southern part of

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Cold Breezy Conditions Expected (March 9-11)

Cold Breezy Conditions Expected (March 9-11)

🕔20:31, 8.Mar 2018

Discussion: On Friday we could see passing snow showers associated with an upper-level low. Believe it or not this is still upper-level energy related to the recent Wednesday nor’easter. Friday should be very cold aloft yet warmer at the surface

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March 7: And That’s a Wrap

March 7: And That’s a Wrap

🕔20:15, 7.Mar 2018

As the last remnant bands finish up in NENJ, I wanted to talk a bit about this storm. Another powerful March nor’easter has had heavy impact on New Jersey. This storm was not as large-scale as last Friday’s but it

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March 7: Afternoon Winter Storm Observations

March 7: Afternoon Winter Storm Observations

🕔14:53, 7.Mar 2018

Discussion: The storm center is now to the east of New Jersey. It should slowly begin to pull away from the coast to the NE. As this happens precipitation will shut off from SW to NE. I expect far-SW areas  near the

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March 7: AM Winter Storm Observations

March 7: AM Winter Storm Observations

🕔11:01, 7.Mar 2018

Discussion: The storm center is now intensifying just off the Delmarva Peninsula. It should take a run towards the Cape May-Atlantic City area before pulling away from the coast a bit. The low is not expected to sit on the coast

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March 6: Final Call Snow Map

March 6: Final Call Snow Map

🕔16:59, 6.Mar 2018

Click here for full-resolution snow map! Click here for full-resolution snow map! Discussion: These late-winter storms are tricky. Let’s get the more confident areas out of the way first. Areas to the NW of I-95 are most likely to KABOOM (zones

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