Discussion: An upper-level low will influence the Mid-Atlantic US with below-average temperatures through Wednesday. NNJ elevations could fall into the 40s during this period with daytime highs struggling to escape the low-70s for most areas. It looks like Tuesday overnight
Discussion: Surface winds are currently off the ocean (out of SE) but they are interacting with the lower-mid levels of warmer S/SW flow. This is forcing the saturation that’s driving the current fog. Please be careful overnight and through tomorrow
Discussion: High pressure dropping out of SE Canada (over the Atlantic Ocean to our E) will maintain an onshore flow for NJ over the next few days. By the time we get to Thursday-Friday, the high should be to our
Discussion: Yesterday’s isolated thunderstorms were air mass thunderstorms, meaning they formed mostly from upward motion (diurnal instability/sea breeze front) without wind shear. This is common for the warm sector of your classic Norwegian cyclone model, especially this time of year.
Discussion: The high pressure responsible for the spectacular weather today and tomorrow (Friday) will slide out into the ocean by Saturday. This will generate return flow which should pump higher humidity into the equation for Saturday. For this reason, all
Discussion: The only disruptive weather I see this week is Tuesday during PM hours. A cold front should push some rain and possibly thunderstorms through the region. Thunderstorm intensity will be determined by diurnal heating capability during the day on
Discussion: The Bermuda high remains stubbornly parked which should keep the return flow up the east coast in place. This should produce a wet Friday (today) and Saturday (tomorrow). Not all day washouts but certainly periods of outdoor cancelling rainfall/storms.
Discussion: The line of severe thunderstorms is currently pushing through EPA towards NJ. NWNJ is already up at bat with the rest of NJ on deck. This line should continue it’s NW to SE movement over the next 3-5 hours
For full-resolution storm map, please click here! Discussion: A Mesoscale Convective System (MCS) is currently pushing SW through Virginia and Maryland. It should further impact the Delmarva Peninsula over the next few hours. If certain criteria is met then it will
Discussion: The 250mb jet is modeled very zonal this week to the N of NJ. Not much to comment on at 500mb either aside from a prolonged period of above-average height anomalies. Most shortwaves hang in the W US. The
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