Discussion: An upper-level low is tracking from the Great Lakes into SE Canada. This upper-level low is part of a weakening trough but still has enough might to drag a cold front through our region overnight tonight. Perhaps cold front
Discussion: The upper-level pattern should remain locked through this weekend and into next week. Trough in the E US and ridge in the W Atlantic. Therefore the southerly meridional jet should persist and keep driving moisture up the east coast.
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Discussion: The synoptic rain system, that kicked the warm and muggy pattern off this past Saturday, verified W of it’s modeled track. This was the result of more phasing activity between the upper-level low and coastal surface low. While New
Discussion: Saturday night’s synoptic rain storm pulled a warm front over New Jersey. This is why it currently feels like a tropical jungle. Dew point temperaturess are well into the 70s which aren’t a whole lot cooler than the actual
Discussion: Last night’s synoptic rain storm has passed through and is now absorbing into the upper-level low to our W. This upper-level low will fizzle into nothing as the SW US ridge teams up with the W Atlantic ridge to
Discussion: The upper-level low is fully closed off over the S Great Lakes as an overall upper-level negatively-tilted trough interacts with our coastal system. This interaction is slightly stronger in real-time observation than modeled leading into this event. I think
Discussion: An upper level low will track from the northern plains to the KY/TN area over the weekend. This upper level energy will interact with a coastal low pressure system, currently forming over coastal GA. The surface low should track
Discussion: Today we saw a few pop-up downpours and storms mostly triggered by the sea breeze front. Always fun to see a sea breeze front make it that far inland. We’re still in the warm sector however (not much humidity
Discussion: High pressure over the general Bermuda area is slowing departing to the E. The anticyclonic/southerly return flow from such is driving our current warm and humid conditions. Another area of high pressure should track from the Great Lakes towards
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