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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Snowstorm Recap and a Look Ahead

Snowstorm Recap and a Look Ahead

🕔13:03, 20.Jan 2025

Discussion: There comes a time where a forecaster like me needs closure. I began tracking and discussing yesterday’s snowstorm signal on January 8 and it’s been a long process of data analysis and live observations leading right up through the

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New Jersey Snowstorm Update

New Jersey Snowstorm Update

🕔13:28, 19.Jan 2025

Discussion: There’s a lot to unpack on this graphic so I figured an update article is best. The storm is mostly unfolding as expected and at this time we have no changes to our going snow map. Below this image

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Snowstorm Approaching New Jersey for Sunday

Snowstorm Approaching New Jersey for Sunday

🕔15:56, 18.Jan 2025

Discussion: There’s no reason to beat the physics of this snowstorm any more than we have in the last 10 days. You are welcome to go back and read the discussions for such but nothing has really changed as far

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Sunday Snowstorm Developing

Sunday Snowstorm Developing Updated

🕔16:55, 17.Jan 2025

Discussion: Today and tomorrow are milder as expected. Afternoon temps are ranging from 38-44 today (Friday) and possibly a few degrees warmer tomorrow (Saturday). Sunday should then reach the mid-to-upper 30s for afternoon high temps before falling below freezing for

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Sunday Snowstorm Chances Increasing

Sunday Snowstorm Chances Increasing

🕔16:52, 16.Jan 2025

Discussion: Light snow is pushing across NJ from W to E as expected. There’s still a slug of precipitation reaching back to W PA, so NJ can expect about 3-6 more hours of this. Nothing crazy but most of it

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Snow Map for Tomorrow and Still Watching Sun-Mon

Snow Map for Tomorrow and Still Watching Sun-Mon

🕔14:44, 15.Jan 2025

Discussion: A few things to talk about before we get to the later part of the weekend. First, you probably know already that it’s cold out. It’s not record cold where afternoon highs struggle to escape single-digits and overnight lows

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Another Snow Pattern Detected

Another Snow Pattern Detected

🕔14:51, 13.Jan 2025

Discussion: Winter is far from over. We’re on day 23 of a 90-day season with a long way to go. I see quite a few people cancelling the rest of winter, just because the first 1/4 to 1/3 of winter

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Light Snow Expected Saturday Morning

Light Snow Expected Saturday Morning

🕔16:56, 9.Jan 2025

Discussion: There have been no changes in my thoughts on a big storm coming back for this weekend. We beat the physics to death over the last few days as to why it won’t happen. In short, the N stream

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Weekend Snow Slipping Away

Weekend Snow Slipping Away

🕔16:36, 8.Jan 2025

Discussion: This weekend continues to give me the heebie jeebies. Yesterday I was leaning away from a bigger snowstorm happening. Today, I’m throwing the white towel on a large snowstorm but not yet on lighter snow. We’re likely past the

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Weekend Snowstorm Update

Weekend Snowstorm Update

🕔13:34, 7.Jan 2025

Discussion: So the forecast for today through Friday is rather straightforward and easy…cold and windy. During this time, NJ will be positioned under the W side of back building trough. The W side of a trough features colder flow out

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