August 16: Tropical Activity Detected!

The National Weather Service National Hurricane Center (NWS NHC) is currently investigating a tropical wave that originated near the Cape Verde region off western Africa:

Here’s the tropical spaghetti plot, courtesy of WeatherBell Analytics:

I’ll be closely monitoring the progress of this tropical activity as it crosses the Atlantic. For now, it’s modeled with a general heading towards the Lesser Antilles with low confidence in mid-to-long range behavior. With that said, a New Jersey or even US impact assessment is not possible at this time. Let’s take this day by day until more organization and a better handle on track is established. Be safe! JC

Model images used with permission from WeatherBell Analytics.

Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety discussion and forecasting services for New Jersey and surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible forecast discussion ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact this great garden state of ours. All Weather. All New Jersey.™ Be safe! JC