A scattered area of low pressure will slide to the south of New Jersey from west to east today. High pressure over the Great Lakes will combat the SE flow off the ocean. This will create a tight gradient between drier skies in NNJ/CNJ and rain for SNJ until the low pressure system gets far enough out to sea later today. Let’s look at the latest NAM guidance to illustrate such.
Rainfall this morning:
Rainfall this afternoon:
Rainfall this evening:
Rainfall early tomorrow morning:
As you can see, rainfall will be confined to SNJ (mostly SENJ) throughout today and into the overnight hours while NNJ and CNJ see mostly dry conditions. Between .25 and .5 inches of rain is expected for SENJ with light to moderate wind gusts at times (more felt along the SENJ shore). It should all clear by sunrise tomorrow.
In English: Expect rain and a few wind gusts in SNJ today through tonight. NNJ and CNJ should stay dry and breezy.
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Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™