Pleasant becomes Hot and Stormy

Discussion: Over the next few days, from now (Monday) through Wednesday, the upper-level trough that has dominated our weather pattern will break down over the E US. This will allow for a few more pleasant-feeling days (warm but lower humidity). But come Thursday, some real summertime heat and humidity will be making an appearance. Upper levels will handoff from trough to higher heights and allow SW flow to takeover at the surface. This will usher in a hot and humid air mass for Thursday and Friday. My suspicion is that some rain and storms will occur Friday PM into Saturday AM as the bottom of a trough noses through and pushes a cold front through from NW to SE. You can probably expect those storms to be severe-warned at times. I will cover later in the week as we closer approach. The weekend then looks to remain warm/hot (80-90) but with less humidity. It should feel a lot better despite the 80-90 temps. That, along with a clear and sunny sky, should make for a great summery feel to the weekend.

Monday (June 10) high temperatures have maxed in the mid-to-upper 70s for most NJ locations today. Skies are mixed with more sun than clouds and should remain that way. A pleasant feel! Winds should remain light-to-breezy out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should range from near-50 to lower-60s from NNJ elevations to SNJ coasts.

Tuesday (June 11) high temperatures should range in the 70s for most NJ locations. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds and continue the pleasant feel. Winds should be light out of the NW prior to any E sea breezes formed for coastal areas. Overnight lows should fall back into the 50s for most areas away from the ocean and slightly above 60 along the coast.

Wednesday (June 12) high temperatures should hover around 80 for most NJ area away from the ocean. Coastal regions should hang in the mid-70s. Skies should be mostly sunny with a pleasant feel. Winds should be light out of the W/NW prior to any E sea breezes formed for coastal areas.

Thursday (June 13) high temperatures should reach or exceed 90 for most locations away from the ocean. Even coastal regions should push into the lower-80s. A much different feeling day. Skies should be mixed with more sun than clouds with a noticeable increase in humidity. Watch out for a potentially foggy AM start. Winds should be light out of the SW. Overnight lows should range from 60-70 from NNJ elevations to SNJ coasts.

Friday (June 14) high temperatures should again, reach 90 for most places away from the ocean, possibly a few degrees hotter in the WCNJ/SWNJ area. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds and a continued humid feel. Thunderstorms are possible for afternoon/evening hours. Winds should be light-to-breezy out of the SW. Overnight lows should again range from 60-70 from NNJ elevations to SNJ coasts.

An early look at the weekend indicates the hotter temperatures continuing but with less humidity. Looks like most areas his 80-85 with interior spots flirting with 90. The lower humidity will help with the feel but it will still be warm/hot. Let’s revisit in a few days. Have a great week and please be safe! JC

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Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™