Warm and Mostly Nice

Discussion: The upper-jet looks mostly over NJ this weekend before it fizzles out and reestablishes to the N of NJ next week. Heights and flow look zonal in the upper levels which means rather uneventful conditions for the near future. A weak disturbance should track just to the SE of NJ tomorrow night (Friday) into Saturday morning and there lies the potential passing showers for Saturday morning in SNJ/SENJ. It looks like those showers will pull away to the E, over the ocean, by Saturday afternoon…with the departing weak low. Outside of SENJ on Saturday, most of NJ looks dry but mixed with sun and clouds. Sunday should feature some returning humidity but not horrible…dews in the mid-60s NOT mid-70s. Humid but not unbearable and most highs should stay in the 80s NOT 90s. Monday-Tuesday looks like a slow frontal passage which should present the best chance for widespread rain that we’ve had in a while. Hurricane guidance indicates the Cape Verde region off W Africa heating up in the next few weeks as we close-out August. No threats to NJ or the East Coast for now but you know I’ll be tracking any that materialize.  

Friday (Aug 19) high temperatures should reach near-90 for most maybe mid-80s for coastal regions. Skies should be mostly sunny but humidity not so bad. A drier heat. Winds should be light out of the SW, possibly breezier along the coast. Overnight lows should range from 60-70 from elevations to coasts.

Saturday (Aug 20) high temperatures should reach closer to 90 away from the ocean and closer to 80 right along the ocean. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds in general…sunnier for NWNJ and cloudier for SENJ. SNJ/SENJ is subject to passing AM showers but afternoon-forward looks dry. Winds should be light out of the S/SE. Overnight lows should range from 60-70 from elevations to coasts.

Sunday (Aug 21) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 80s for most areas. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds. Humidity should be noticeably elevated but not too bad. Winds should be light out of the SE. Overnight lows should fall to the mid-60s for most areas.

An early look at next week indicates highs in the 80s with higher but not unbearable humidity. Mostly decent conditions aside from PM storms here and there. Monday-Tuesday looks like the best shot at widespread rainfall. Hurricane season remains quiet but should heat up, at least in the tropics, as we close-out August. I’ll be watching for anything that could come up this way. Have a great weekend and please be safe! JC

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Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™