Unsettled Conditions (March 26-28)

Discussion: Most of our pattern, this weekend into next week, will be heavily influenced by a few low pressure systems passing to our far NW. There’s one right now dragging a mostly-dry cold front through. Today, we’re experiencing the warm sector mild flow (just head of the front) that’s spiking afternoon (higher sun-angle) temps. Any shower or t-storm activity Friday PM should be isolated, if any, not widespread. The most notable feature Friday will be higher winds that change from S/SW to NW with the frontal passage. These winds should gradually subside by daybreak Saturday. Saturday then looks mild with light general SW flow and mostly clear conditions. Clouds should increase as early as Saturday afternoon but likely by Saturday evening. Rain and wind are then possible Sunday from a morning warm front, evening cold front, and unsettled conditions between. High pressure should then build by mid next week to produce cooler, but still nice, conditions.

Friday (March 26) high temperatures should reach/break 70 for most. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds during the day. Just a small chance of a shower or t-storm but mainly we have a mostly-dry frontal passage expected. Winds should breezy/gusty out of the S/SW at first then out of the NW after the front pushes through. Sustained 20mph with gusts to 50mph. Overnight lows should fall to near-50 for most areas.

Saturday (March 27) high temperatures should reach near-70 for most with ECNJ/SENJ coastal areas closer to near-60. Skies should be mostly sunny with a pleasant/mild feel. Winds should be light out of the SW. Overnight lows should fall to near-50 for most areas with just a small chance of an isolated shower (mostly dry statewide).

Sunday (March 28) high temperatures should reach into the 60s for most. Skies should be mostly cloudy with periods of rain likely. Winds should be breezy/gusty out of the S/SW. Overnight lows should fall to near-40 for most (30s for NNJ elevations).

An early look at next week indicates highs generally reaching the upper-50s/lower-60s with no major systems detected. Some spring showers here and there but mostly dry. A cooler stretch (especially during overnight hours) compared to this week. Let’s take another look at it on Sunday. Have a great weekend and please be safe! JC

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Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™