Wet Start. Sunny Mild Finish (April 5-7)

Discussion: High pressure is currently moving out as a weak disturbance approaches for Friday. This should keep most of Friday unsettled and wet. NNJ elevations and possibly even lower elevations of NNJ/CNJ could see some frozen precipitation initially mix into the rain. Little-to-no accumulations are expected especially on roads. This small possibility would end rather quickly as temperatures climb early Friday morning. I expect periods of on-and-off rain to end around sunrise Saturday morning. The rest of Saturday and most of Sunday then look dry, sunny and mild. Clouds return during Sunday PM hours ahead of a wet Monday. Looks like a quick one-two punch of a warm and cold front with possibly a mid-day warm sector break between frontal passage. Tuesday-forward then looks pretty good. Highs up to at least upper-50s statewide. 60s for most with shots at 70 in the warmer interior CNJ/SNJ regions.  There’s some signs of long-range high-latitude blocking which could buckle the jet stream up into a meridional state. This could produce wilder swings of temperature fluctuations in the general east-moving mid-latitude flow. No, it will not produce a major snow storm. It could however lead to severe thunderstorm weather. Let’s see how it looks next week.    

Friday (April 5) high temperatures should range from near-40 to near-50 NNJ to SNJ. Skies should be mostly cloudy with periods of rain likely throughout the entire day. Winds should be light-to-breezy out of the E, breeziest for the ENJ/SENJ coast. Overnight lows should range from mid-30s to mid-40s as rain wraps up.

Saturday (April 6) high temperatures should break 60 for most areas. Interior CNJ/SNJ have the best chance to break 70. Skies should start cloudy with lingering rain for the early AM hours. Conditions should seriously improve by mid-to-late morning and last for the rest of the day. Winds should be light out of the NW. Overnight lows should range from near-40 to near-50 NNJ to SNJ.

Sunday (April 7) high temperatures should break 60 for most areas away from the ENJ/SENJ coast. Interior CNJ/SNJ and NNJ would have the best shot at breaking 70. Immediate coastal regions would likely cap-out in the 50s due to marine flow. Skies should start mostly sunny and increase in cloud coverage throughout the day. Winds should be light out of the E/SE. Overnight lows should fall to near-50 for most as rain approaches.

An early look at next week indicates sustained temperatures in the upper-50s and 60s (more shots at 70 possible for interior CNJ/SNJ). Looks like an unsettled wet start on Monday followed by dry and sunny conditions Tuesday into the weekend. Have a great weekend and please be safe! JC

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Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™