Warm Unsettled Weekend Expected (June 16-18)

By no means a washout but certainly a few unsettled periods. Let’s break it down…

Discussion: A warm front has pushed through hence the southerly flow of warm/moist air. Convergence over the E US, from departing anti-cyclonic high pressure flow meeting up with warm sector SW, will produce the unsettled and humid conditions across our area this weekend. Each day, the chance for isolated-to-scattered showers and thunderstorms decreases. Therefore I expect more activity on Saturday than Sunday. Again, no day is a wash out but there could be a few unlucky spots during daytime hours. We’ll have to play it by radar. Everything leads up to a cold frontal passage on Monday which could include severe weather. After that we should dry out with less humidity but still warm temperatures next week. 

Friday (June 16) high temperatures should range in the 70s statewide. Skies should be mostly cloudy with a damp feel and occasional light rain. Winds should be light out of the E/SE. Overnight lows should fall into the 60s statewide.

Saturday (June 17) high temperatures should reach into the low-to-mid 80s. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds with a humid feel. Isolated-to-scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible. Winds should be light-to-breezy out of the S/SE. Overnight lows should struggle to  dip below 70.

Sunday (June 18) high temperatures should at least reach the mid-to-upper 80s for most. I wouldn’t be surprised to see interior SNJ/CNJ break 90 while immediate coastal areas hang in the upper-70s/lower-80s. Skies should be mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms floating around. Noticeably humid conditions should sustain. Winds should be light-to-breezy out of the S. Overnight lows should again struggle to dip below 70.

An early look at next week indicates a humid, rainy and stormy Monday (I’ll be monitoring). After that a cold front should push through and at least bring relief from humidity Tuesday morning-forward. We then might deal with another frontal passage next Friday night into Saturday morning. Temperatures appear to be near average for the week. Let’s take a closer look on Sunday evening. Everyone have a great weekend and please be safe! JC

Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™