Cool Dry Week Expected (Oct 10-14)

High pressure will dominate the region with cool dry sinking air this week. Let’s break it down…

Disco: Matthew is long gone from our region. High pressure will fill his void over the Mid-Atlantic US and help steer Nicole towards the Bermuda region. With that said, Bermuda could see tropical storm to category 1 hurricane conditions this ~Thursday. Nicole should then get carried away further into the Atlantic Ocean. Nicole will not present a threat to New Jersey or anyone else on the US East Coast, only some enhanced rip currents along the beach and possibly a few nice waves for surfing.

Monday (Oct 10) high temperatures should just about reach/break 60 statewide. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should remain mostly breezy (gusty at times) out of the N/NW. Overnight lows might stay in the 40s near the immediate coast. The rest of the state is subject to a frost overnight and possibly even a freeze for NNJ elevations and/or interior pine barrens.  If winds subside overnight as expected and the sky is clear, then radiational cooling will be enhanced so keep that in mind.

Tuesday (Oct 11) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 60s. Skies should me partly-to-mostly sunny. Winds will be light out of the E/SE. Overnight lows should fall into the 40s for most. NNJ elevations could dip into frost territory again while the immediate coast hangs on to lower-50s.

Wednesday (Oct 12) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 60s. Skies should feature a mixed bag of sun and clouds, possibly more clouds than sun. Winds should be light out of the E. Overnight lows should fall into the 40s for most with immediate coastal areas hanging on to lower-50s.

Thursday (Oct 13) high temperatures should reach the upper-60s/lower-70s statewide. This looks like the warmest day of the week. Skies should again feature a mixed bag of sun and clouds. Winds should be light out of the SW. Overnight lows should fall into the 40s for most with immediate coastal areas hanging on to lower-50s.

Note: Thursday evening into Friday morning is modeled with a mostly-dry frontal passage. Just a small possibility of showers ahead and along that cold front during overnight hours into Friday.

Friday (Oct 14) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 60s. Skies should be mostly sunny after any low-possibility morning showers. Winds should be light-to-breezy out of the N. Overnight lows should fall into the upper-30s/lower-40s for most with more frost potential. Immediate coastal areas could hang onto upper-40s/lower-50s.

 

An early look at the weekend indicates more high pressure moving in which would mean more great weather. Let’s revisit this in a  few days. Everyone have a great week and please be safe! JC

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Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety discussion and forecasting services for New Jersey and surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible forecast discussion ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact this great garden state of ours. All Weather. All New Jersey.™ Be safe! JC