Conditions Improve this Week (Oct 5-9)

Hurricane Joaquin is steaming out to sea towards the northern mid-Atlantic and its sideshow-low, that’s been parked over South Carolina, will soon follow suit. High pressure will now move in and improve conditions throughout the week. A low tracking through the Great Lakes towards the ~Maine area could then drag a cold front with possible rain through on Friday that would set up a beautiful fall weekend. Let’s break it down:

Monday high temperatures should reach the mid-60s statewide. Most of the state should eventually see sunny skies with the exception of coastal areas where clouds could still linger. A mixed bag of sun and clouds is probably the best way to say it. Winds should be out of the N/NE, lighter for inland/elevations but still stiff along the coast. Overnight lows should fall into the 40s for inland/elevations and 50s for coastal areas.

Tuesday high temperatures should reach the upper-60s/lower-70s statewide. Skies should feature a mixed bag of mostly sun and just some clouds. Winds should be very relaxed for most of the state but coastal regions should still see light-to-breezy conditions out of the NE (only gusts to 15mph). Overnight lows should fall into the upper-40s/lower-50s statewide.

Wednesday high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 70s statewide. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be light out of the NW. Overnight lows should fall into the 40s (interior/elevations) and 50s (coastal regions).

Thursday high temperatures should top out around 70 statewide. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be very light (only a few mph in any direction) as high pressure stalls just to our north. Overnight lows should range from the mid-to-upper 40s in NWNJ to about 60 for SENJ (50s for most between).

Friday high temperatures should top out around 70 statewide. Right now, skies look mostly cloudy with rain possible ahead of the cold front. I’ll monitor exact/hourly timing during the week and have a much better picture by Wed PM. Winds should be breezy-to-gusty out of the S/SW ahead of the front. Once through winds will shift to a northerly flow as high pressure takes control once again.

Coastal flooding statement: Tides will remain higher than normal as Joaquin and its sideshow-low departs. The worst is behind us though as tides slowly return to normal levels over the next few days.

An early look at the weekend indicates a sharp turn towards fall conditions with highs in the 60s, light NW flow, lots of sunshine and overnight lows possibly threatening the 30s for inland/elevations (40s and 50s for the lower 2/3 of NJ)

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Be safe and have a great week! JC

Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety discussion and forecasting services for New Jersey and surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible forecast discussion ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact this great garden state of ours. All Weather. All New Jersey.™ Be safe! JC