Cold and Snowy Week Expected (Feb 3-6)

High pressure will have control of the region today and tomorrow with cool and dry sinking air expected. Two converging energies (northern and southern streams) could then bring light snow for Thursday before Arctic air reloads to start the weekend. Let’s break each day down:

Tuesday highs should struggle to break 30 with sunny skies and stiff W/NW winds. Overnight lows will then drop back into the teens statewide with moon-lit skies. Isolated and random snow showers are possible given the flow over the Great Lakes but for the most part, we’re cold and dry.

Wednesday will be warmer than Tuesday with highs ranging from upper-30s to mid-40s (NWNJ to SENJ). The day could start clear but eventually give way to overcast skies. It should feel mild after the recent cold. The warmer air will be the result of light-to-breezy SW winds. Overnight lows should then drop into the upper-20s as precipitation approaches from the NW in the form of a line-segment (similar to thunderstorms in warmer weather) ahead of an Arctic cold front.

Thursday highs should range from upper-20s to lower 30s as snow showers and squalls lay trace to minor snow accumulations across the state. Higher concentrations of snowfall favor NWNJ over SENJ but everything is subject to see a little something-something. Winds should be gusty out of the N. Overnight lows should then drop into the single digits for one of the coldest nights we’ve seen yet this winter. Below-zero temperatures are possible for NWNJ with maybe 10 degrees along the SENJ coast. Thursday night will be a cold one!

Friday looks like a cold day with the Arctic front through and into the Atlantic Ocean. Highs should fail to escape the 20s. Winds should be light out of the W/SW with a mixed bag of sun and clouds. Lookout for a good winter sunset opportunity. Overnight lows should then drop into the single digits and teens.

As mentioned in my previous article, Sunday-Monday holds potential for a larger snow event but I’m only analyzing models with the grain of salt at this range. I’ll keep you posted on their output each day but wont have a first call until likely Friday.

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Be safe! JC

Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety discussion and forecasting services for New Jersey and surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible forecast discussion ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact this great garden state of ours. All Weather. All New Jersey.™ Be safe! JC