Discussion: Let’s break the 3 phases we’ve been discussing into the following timing expectations: Phase 1: Sunday Morning through Sunday afternoon. The warm front will arrive from the SW with precipitation after midnight tonight (Saturday night). I expect precip to
Discussion: I hope you all had a wonderful Thanksgiving. It is now time to take the Sunday-Monday coastal storm setup seriously. We are well within the mid-range forecasting period with strong agreement on model guidance, a favorable pattern and matching
Discussion: Let’s first address tonight and Thanksgiving (tomorrow). A fairly organized low pressure system will tracking to our N (from W to E). It looks like it makes a run from the Great Lakes over N New York State and
Discussion: I want to real quick talk about the Thanksgiving period. Right now we’re in the developing warm sector ahead of the lakes-tracking disturbance that should bring nuisance rain only between Wednesday night and Thursday morning. The bigger story with
Discussion: The purpose of this article is not to scare anyone to the store for eggs, milk and bread almost a week in-advance of a snowstorm. But rather to inform everyone of a strongly-modeled storm signal, with winter potential, for
Discussion: It looks like we’ll get a short break this week from the below-average temperatures that we’ve gotten used to. Monday through Wednesday looks relatively mild with highs well into the 50s for many areas and in some cases flirting
Discussion: A low pressure system will track through the Great Lakes into SE Canada between tomorrow (Friday) and Saturday morning. From this system NJ will first see a warm front move through this evening (Thursday), from SW to NE, followed
Discussion: Not much to write home about over the next few days. A warm front should move through from SW to NE Thursday PM. Therefore we’ll have milder and more humid air moving into a colder departing air mass with
Discussion: Let’s talk about tonight real quick. The rainfall from the coastal low so far has been confined to mostly along and SE of the turnpike in the form of on-and-off drizzle/mist. As I’ve been saying leading up to this
Discussion: The coastal storm is now rapidly developing off the SE US. You can see it here on satellite imagery a few hundred miles east of the GA/SC border: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=global-northamerica-14-48-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=data The high is currently over upstate New York and slowing
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